Local Forecast
Weather Wars: 7 Day Forecast Battle
Days Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Lee C. -- -- -- -- -- -- --
John Y. -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Temperature Verification
Days Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Temps -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Dean, Flossie, TD 5; Its going to be a long week....

By John Y. On Tuesday, August 14, 2007 At 9:11 PM
As announced several days ago here on DCweather, all of the computer models were indicating that the tropics were going to explode this week. They did not lie. We currently have 3 tropical systems, 2 in the atlantic, and one in particular to watch.

Flossie: Hurricane Flossie weakened Sunday as it moved over much cooler waters near Hawaii. None the less, Flossie is still a strong category 2 hurricane, and will give Hawaii a glancing blow of tropical storm force winds and several inches of rain Wednesday. I do think that the islands should get by without too much in the way of damage.Surfs up: Flossie will cause minimal damage as it travels just south of the Hawaiian Islands Wednesday. Meanwhile, surfers across the state are getting ready for some of the best waves of the year!

TD 5
: At 11:00pm Tuesday night, the NHC announced that the tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico had gotten itself together well enough to be considered a tropical depression. While this is not good news for southern Texas, if I could be selfish for a minute, it is great news for us. Recent computer runs are indicating that most of the moisture from TD 5 will get absorbed into a front that will give us a chance for substantial rain next week! Unfortunatly, TD 5 may drop 10+ inches of rain on southern Texas; an area that does not need another drop. Additionally, I believe that TD 5 will become Tropical Storm Erica before it makes landfall, and may cause some wind damage on the south Texas coast. Anybody from Galvalston to Corpus Christy should be on alert for updates.
TD 5 visible at the bottom of the image. Soon-to-be Erin will make a Texas landfall Thursday

Dean: Tropical Storm Dean had a rough Tuesday. Stronger than expected sheer infultrated the storm on the northeast end and made it dificult for development. None the less, the system is heading into a more favorable environment for development, and should reach hurricane status by Friday. Computer models shifted a bit further south today with regard to the track of Dean, but a NC landfall is not out of the question. If I were forced to make a bet, I would say that Florida would be the target of this storm, but again, the only thing we do know is that the storm will not be a 'fish-spinner' (a storm that hooks out to sea before reaching land) due to a ridge in the northern Atlantic.
Despite looking ragged on satellite, the center of Dean remained defined Tuesday, and further development is expected.



for this post

Leave a Reply

Contact Us
wxdude1990 (at) yahoo.com jyarsh381 (at) hotmail.com

Donations


Useful NOAA Weather Links
Local Weather Service Office
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
Storm Prediction Center (Severe Weather)
National Hurricane Center

Watches, Warnings, Advisories
Warnings

Numerical Weather Models
NCEP Models (good selection)
PSU E-Wall
25 km WRF model (Hi-Res)
Earl Barker's Model Page
Ensemble MOS data (Washington, DC)

Radar and Satellite
Local Radar

PSU E-Wall Satellite
Local NWS radar
ABC Radar
FOX Radar
NBC Radar

Other Weather Blogs
Capitalweather.com
USA Today's The Weather Guys
The Weather Underground blog
Foot's Forecast
Weather Talk Radio
Eastern US Weather Forum
Phillyweather.net

Other Blogs
BayArea Kicks

Enter your e-mail to subscribe:


Personal Blogs - Blog Top Sites

Subscribe

Personal blogs
Top Blogs

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.