Local Forecast
Weather Wars: 7 Day Forecast Battle
Days Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Lee C. -- -- -- -- -- -- --
John Y. -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Temperature Verification
Days Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Temps -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Severe Thunderstorms possible Tuesday

By John Y. On Monday, June 18, 2007 At 8:44 PM

With temperatures expected to climb well into the 90s tomorrow, a round of strong storms is possible. The most likely areas to see severe storms are the northern suburbs of the D.C. area.

A strong cold front will approach the area and provide the lift for the storms, as indicated on the lifted idexes forecast map below. While there may be a couple of scattered storms in the afternoon time period, several computer models indicate that a squall line will develop and cross the area as shown on the NAM model forecast (right) in the late evening hours.



(Above) NAM model forecast for the late evening hours Tuesday showing a squal line extending from Eastern Canada to the northern suburbs of D.C.
Damaging winds are usually the most dangerous risk with squal lines.





(Above) Lifted indexes are projected to be in the -4 to -5 range in the afternoon and evening hours. Note: lifted indexes are a measure of the instability in the atmosphere...

>0: any thunderstorm development is unlikely
0 to -3: Severe thunderstorms possible but not likely
-3 to -6: Severe thunderstorms possible
-6 to -9: Severe thunderstorms likely
<-9: GET OUT!

for this post

Leave a Reply

Contact Us
wxdude1990 (at) yahoo.com jyarsh381 (at) hotmail.com

Donations


Useful NOAA Weather Links
Local Weather Service Office
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
Storm Prediction Center (Severe Weather)
National Hurricane Center

Watches, Warnings, Advisories
Warnings

Numerical Weather Models
NCEP Models (good selection)
PSU E-Wall
25 km WRF model (Hi-Res)
Earl Barker's Model Page
Ensemble MOS data (Washington, DC)

Radar and Satellite
Local Radar

PSU E-Wall Satellite
Local NWS radar
ABC Radar
FOX Radar
NBC Radar

Other Weather Blogs
Capitalweather.com
USA Today's The Weather Guys
The Weather Underground blog
Foot's Forecast
Weather Talk Radio
Eastern US Weather Forum
Phillyweather.net

Other Blogs
BayArea Kicks

Enter your e-mail to subscribe:


Personal Blogs - Blog Top Sites

Subscribe

Personal blogs
Top Blogs

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.