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Cold and Dry--Two Words That Don't Go Together

By Lee Carlaw On Tuesday, February 28, 2006 At 6:20 PM
5 Day Outlook

Tonight:
Variable cloudiness tonight as a very weak upper level disturbance slips through the region. There's a very slim chance (something like 25 or 30%) that a few light snow showers stumble into the region later tonight. No accumulation anticipated. Temperatures by sunrise tomorrow will be in the upper 20s/lower 30s.

Wednesday:
Mainly sunny conditions expected with a slight increase in cloudiness towards evening. Highs will climb towards 50 degrees.

Thursday:
Mainly cloudy, especially before noon as low pressure organizes and spreads northeast form the Ohio River Valley. Showers will remain likely until mid afternoon Thursday. High temperatures should manage to break into the upper 50s (possibly hitting 60) before a cold front races through overnight.

It will likely be a bit breezy Thursday afternoon as the cold front nears the Metro Region.

Friday:
Breezy conditions during the afternoon Friday, and high temperatures will likely remain in the mid to upper 40s.

Saturday:
Expect mainly sunny skies through the day and high temperatures in the mid 40s.

Sunday:
Mainly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. High temperatures in the low to mid 40s.


Snowy Future, or just an illusion?
Lately, there's been some chatter going on about the potential for a "wintry-mix" kind of scenario early next week for the big cities along the East Coast. The computer models have been hinting at the possibility of some cyclogenesis somewhere off the Southeast coast next week, but all differ on the position, strength, and timing. The GFS has been sort of consistent in developing a low off the southeast coast during the Monday night/Tuesday timeframe, but this solution appears a bit suspect at this point.

This is something to watch, but at this point, model data would not support an East Coast snowstorm. Still, a lot of the models are failing to correctly analyze upper air features, blocks, wind flow, etc, which adds a certain amount of "insecurity" to the forecast.

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