Well, I guess that 100% probability of precip call was a bit optimistic. A lot of the pre-frontal precip has been chewed up by the moderately high peaks of the Appalachians, and what's more, the front appears to be progressing slightly slower than I had anticipated. Nonetheless, I still expect rainfall to pick up in intensity and coverage through the day. Showers and scattered thunderstorms should become numerous by the evenings rush hour.With that said, it will be a bit breezy today as the cold front makes its approach on the region, and be sure to dust that umbrella off if you plan to head out later this afternoon. As for high temperatures, computer model guidance appears way off this morning, as most short range models indicating high temps today in the mid 60s. As is normally the case with approaching frontal boundaries, numerical models have a tough time predicting temperature trends. Washington currently reports a temp of 65 (which was the forecast high from the AVN model).
Expect highs today to range from the mid 60s north and west of the city, and near 70 closer to the immediate metro region.
Epsilon in November:I don't know about the rest of you, but talking about the 26th named storm of the Tropical Atlantic Hurricane Season just doesn't seem right. At 11AM AST (that's 10AM here), Tropical Storm Epsilon formed over the central Atlantic Ocean. This should just be a nuisance storm for mariners between Bermuda and the Azores.
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