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Cooler air waiting in the wings

By Lee Carlaw On Wednesday, November 09, 2005 At 6:07 PM
Weather synopsis:
Currently, a powerful surface low is hanging out in eastern Manitoba with a strong cold front arching back towards the southwest from central Ohio into northern Texas. A surface warm front has pushed its way north of the immediate metro region, which has allowed winds to swing around to the south, drawing in a somewhat muggier airmass (although you probably wouldn't notice the difference).

The low in Manitoba has deepened at a very respectable rate, loosing close to 20 mb of pressure in the past 24 hours.

Severe weather:
While severe weather in the metro region is not expected, a tornado watch is in effect until 10 PM for eastern Ohio and western PA as a strong cold front races through those regions.

Given the degree of upper level dynamics, there is a chance a few of these thunderstorms survive the trip over the peaks of the Appalachians into MD and northern VA later tonight, although any chance of severe weather will have diminished to near Nil. Still, the local NWS office is somewhat concerned about cells popping up and developing rotation given very favorable speed shear (change of wind speed with height).

Outlook:
As with the previous frontal passage last week, most of the moisture associated with this next system will be contained to areas west of the mountains and north of the Mason-Dixon line. Granted, there is a chance (40-50%) a few showers/thunderstorms develop overnight around the region.

By the time many of you wake up, the cold front will have cleared the area, ushering in stiff northwesterly winds of 15-25 mph with higher gusts. High temperatures will be slashed by a good 5-10 degrees in most locations--near 55--as cold, Canadian air is drawn southeastward by the strong northwest winds.

However, by the weekend, high pressure becomes entrenched across the Mid Atlantic, allowing highs to once again rise into the mid-upper 60s, before another front (this time a bit weaker), approaches the area Monday morning.

The weather Forecasting Handbook-Tim Vasquez:
I purchased this book about a week ago, and have thoroughly enjoyed running through it. This handbook contains a wealth of information, beginning with the basic physical concepts like mass, distance, force, etc., eventually leading into the fundamentals and mechanics of weather forecasting.

I would highly recommend this to anyone interested in the functions of weather forecasting. Some previous background knowledge of basic weather concepts is a good idea before picking this book up, but it is still a good read for the 'weather weenies' out there.

The Weather Channel goes comedic:
Both the Washington Post and CNN report on the Weather Channel's attempt at raking in more viewers by airing celebrity guests on the show. Black will get a chance at the "chroma key," you know-the big green screen with nothing on it that broadcast meteorologists stand in front of-alongside David Schwartz, and add some comedic value on global warming. Tune into the weather channel Wednesday night, November 9th to catch some of Lewis Black.

This added comedic value comes at a time when the Weather Channel is attempting to increase the number of viewers. Lately, the weekend segments feature the forecasters on couches, resembling a "Today Show" style, instead of behind the gray desks.

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