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Morning Update

By Lee Carlaw On Monday, October 10, 2005 At 7:15 AM
Clouds hang tough over much of the Mid Atlantic region, with smatterings of sun here and there. Expect a mainly cloudy day, with breaks of sun every now and then. Rain chances are relatively low today, but we're watching an upper level disturbance rotating around in the Tennessee area that should begin to approach the region later today/tonight.

Over the next 5 days, there will be at least a 30-40% chance of rain showers as moisture is locked in between a high pressure system to the north, and an upper level disturbance to the south. The graphic to the right is from the HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, and yes it is a mouthful) and displays the potential accumulated precipitation over the next 120 hours (5 Days). The rainfall, however, will not be anything like the stuff we say this weekend, but more of the 'light' variety.

Tropical Talk:
Former hurricane Vince, which formed in a very odd position yesterday a couple hundred miles west of Spain, has lost a lot of its punch overnight due to colder waters and upper level westerly shear. This is blasting the thunderstorms off the top of the low level center, which has decreased the storms intensity significantly.

There is one other area of disturbed weather east of the United States associated with an upper level low. This system is nearly stationary over the western Atlantic, and the NHC is expecting some slow development over the next several days. This system may affect the region this weekend/early next week with some rain showers...

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