The weather around the region is nothing shy of stellar. Winds were a bit less harsh today, and high temperatures were around a uniform 70F.
Next several Days:
Generally speaking, tomorrow will feature much of the same type of weather that we saw today, although winds will have calmed, and highs will be about 5-10 degrees warmer, as high pressure begins to nose into the region.
There is a bit of a hiccup we have to avoid Thursday morning, in the form of a very weak cold front that will try to slip into the region from a rather odd direction--the northwest. Most models develop either very little precipitation (<.1") or no precip at all with this frontal passage. At this point, it appears you have a better chance of staying high and dry than seeing substantial precip. A cold front, does however, look like it will roll through the region late Wednesday night/Thursday morning, pushing high temperatures back down into the upper 60s/lower 70s for Friday and Saturday. Then the forecast gets absolutely chaotic... Clouds will likely thicken Friday night and Saturday--but not due to Wilma--rather, a developing low pressure system moving in from the west, and with the approach of this low, showers become a possibility over the weekend.
Confused Models, confused forecasts
With respect to Tropical Storm Wilma (yes it did become the 21st named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season, which ties this season with 1933 for the most named storms in one year), this is an incredible amount of model discontinuity from run to run. A few runs ago, the GFS rammed Wilma into western Florida, however the model now runs Wilma through the Florida Keys and up the east coast next Monday.
At this point, a generally west-northwestward track should continue, until Wilma reaches the eastern tip of the Yucatan, when a quick turn to the northeast is anticipated. How far east the storm heads is dependant on upper level synoptics. Florida looks like a good target at this point, and interests in the eastern Gulf of Mexico should monitor Wilma's movements closely over the next few days.
After this, it seems likely Wilma get pulled up in a northeasterly fashion up the east coast, again, how far east remains heavily dependant on the strength of a trough to the north.
There is too much data that still needs to be sorted through to make any accurate stab a this forecast regarding Wilma's effects (if any) on the region.
Next several Days:
Generally speaking, tomorrow will feature much of the same type of weather that we saw today, although winds will have calmed, and highs will be about 5-10 degrees warmer, as high pressure begins to nose into the region.
There is a bit of a hiccup we have to avoid Thursday morning, in the form of a very weak cold front that will try to slip into the region from a rather odd direction--the northwest. Most models develop either very little precipitation (<.1") or no precip at all with this frontal passage. At this point, it appears you have a better chance of staying high and dry than seeing substantial precip. A cold front, does however, look like it will roll through the region late Wednesday night/Thursday morning, pushing high temperatures back down into the upper 60s/lower 70s for Friday and Saturday. Then the forecast gets absolutely chaotic... Clouds will likely thicken Friday night and Saturday--but not due to Wilma--rather, a developing low pressure system moving in from the west, and with the approach of this low, showers become a possibility over the weekend.
Confused Models, confused forecasts
With respect to Tropical Storm Wilma (yes it did become the 21st named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season, which ties this season with 1933 for the most named storms in one year), this is an incredible amount of model discontinuity from run to run. A few runs ago, the GFS rammed Wilma into western Florida, however the model now runs Wilma through the Florida Keys and up the east coast next Monday.
At this point, a generally west-northwestward track should continue, until Wilma reaches the eastern tip of the Yucatan, when a quick turn to the northeast is anticipated. How far east the storm heads is dependant on upper level synoptics. Florida looks like a good target at this point, and interests in the eastern Gulf of Mexico should monitor Wilma's movements closely over the next few days.
After this, it seems likely Wilma get pulled up in a northeasterly fashion up the east coast, again, how far east remains heavily dependant on the strength of a trough to the north.
There is too much data that still needs to be sorted through to make any accurate stab a this forecast regarding Wilma's effects (if any) on the region.
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