Clouds are finally beginning to break up across the region with the first reports of sun breaking through the low cloud deck in southwestern VA:
Charlottesville-Albemarle Airport
Last Update on Oct 14, 3:53 pm EDT
Last Update on Oct 14, 3:53 pm EDT
Partly Cloudy 70F (21C) |
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Also notice the wind speeds: sustained out of the north at 12 with gusts approaching 20 mph. As a low pressure system to the east begins to strengthen and head up towards Nova Scotia, a relatively tight pressure gradient will develop. Expect breezy conditions tomorrow, with winds sustained around 10-20 mph with some higher gusts--and these will gradually subside Saturday evening as the low pulls away into the Canadian Maritimes, and high pressure approaches from the west.
Weeked Outlook:
With all of the dismal weather over the past week, we deserve a weekend with a little sunshine. Saturday looks spectacular, with highs topping out in the mid to upper 70s and decreasing cloud cover.
Sunday is even nicer as winds subside below 10mph, and high temperatures look to be about 10 degress cooler--generally staying upper 60s to near 70.
Extended Outlook:
There is some model discontinuity in the extended range, particularly between the one of the premier forecast models (GFS) and GEM (Canadian Model), and the usually very accurate ECMWF. Tuesday afternoon the GFS drills a small area of low pressure southeastward into the Mid Atlantic from southern Canada. This model has not been extraordinarily consistent over the past few runs, so confidence in this particular forecast is a bit lower. The GEM says "what low?" keeping the region dry until next weekend.
The ECMWF does develop a weak low pressure system in southern Canada, but scoots it mainly eastward with minimal affects on the region. Best bet right now is to expect a few more clouds Wednesday and Wednesday night, but precipitation chances are very low at this point.
Tropical Beat:
The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on an area of disturbed weather near Jamaica, which has shown signs of organization over the past several hours. Conditions look ripe for another tropical entity to develop in the coming days, and this may ultimately become a western Caribbean threat later next week.
the new format really doesnt do much for me. please make it stop.