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Rain's outta hear tomorrow

By Lee Carlaw On Monday, September 26, 2005 At 3:26 PM
Well, light showers are just on our doorstep and have been toying with the region for the past couple of hours (oh yeah, some of this moisture are associated with the remnants of hurricane Rita). Rainfall from this frontal passage looks to be light-generally less than a quarter inch in most spots. So, as mentioned earlier, this rain event really won't do much to quench the drought we're in.


Left: MD Radar image showing scattered showers slowly approaching the region from the west
Right: NAM model forecast valid tonight as a cold front speeds through the region

The cold front speeds east overnight, and finally lets the clouds fizzle out. Tomorrow will feature decreasing clouds as a huge dome of high pressure settles in over the northeast. This high will keep the max temps from climbing into the 80s on Wednesday--and will yield very pleasant early autumn weather.

The nice conditions don't last long as the high pressure speeds away Thursday with the approach of yet another cool front-this one more powerful than the one going through tonight. The NAM model has shifted the low associated with the cold front much farther north than in previous runs, reducing our chances of seeing any appreciable rainfall.

Behind the front is another cold high pressure dome, which may usher in the coolest temperatures of the season, with highs on Friday struggling to get out of the 60s/low 70s.

Oh, and if we needed another tropical system to watch...the National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on an area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean Sea that shows signs of slow organization. What's even more disturbing is most operational guidance models track this disturbance into the Gulf of Mexico in a little less than a week from now. Sea Surface Temperatures are incredibly high in this area (exceeding 90F in some locations), and conditions look to become more favorable for development over the next few days.

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